Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.007119 0.008002 0.008966 0.010102 0.011404 0.012856 0.014601
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.005703 0.006895 0.008312 0.010131 0.012419 0.015223 0.018950
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004828 0.006116 0.007732 0.009928 0.012867 0.016708 0.022186
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004365 0.005747 0.007558 0.010140 0.013781 0.018815 0.026447
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003936 0.005349 0.007272 0.010126 0.014336 0.020443 0.030215
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003461 0.004827 0.006745 0.009688 0.014195 0.021006 0.032420
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003175 0.004539 0.006510 0.009634 0.014592 0.022390 0.036070
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003065 0.004493 0.006615 0.010092 0.015821 0.025212 0.042494
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.002775 0.004146 0.006231 0.009735 0.015680 0.025751 0.045008
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002548 0.003875 0.005939 0.009492 0.015690 0.026530 0.048046
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002402 0.003721 0.005816 0.009512 0.016148 0.028139 0.052883
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002343 0.003700 0.005906 0.009900 0.017297 0.031141 0.060951
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002182 0.003502 0.005691 0.009749 0.017467 0.032371 0.065704
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002065 0.003372 0.005584 0.009781 0.017994 0.034383 0.072546
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001925 0.003189 0.005367 0.009586 0.018047 0.035424 0.077363
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.001858 0.003129 0.005362 0.009790 0.018919 0.038295 0.087023
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.001766 0.003016 0.005252 0.009777 0.019339 0.040240 0.094793
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001626 0.002809 0.004951 0.009356 0.018845 0.040068 0.097105
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001546 0.002705 0.004837 0.009303 0.019143 0.041760 0.104707
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001533 0.002724 0.004957 0.009744 0.020592 0.046389 0.121435
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001428 0.002563 0.004718 0.009401 0.020206 0.046467 0.125066
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001344 0.002436 0.004535 0.009167 0.020050 0.047107 0.130533
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001293 0.002371 0.004472 0.009187 0.020503 0.049385 0.141595